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Migration Patterns

Measuring the Income-Distance Tradeoff for Rural-Urban Migrants in China

Author : Junfu Zhang, Zhong Zhao | 2013
Published By: IZA, Bonn

Rural-urban migrants in China appear to prefer nearby destination cities. To gain a better understanding of this phenomenon, we build a simple model in which migrants from rural areas choose among potential destination cities to maximize utility. The distance between a migrant’s home village and destination city is explicitly included in the utility function. Using recent survey data, this paper first estimates an individual’s expected income in each potential destination city using a semi-parametric method, controlling for potential self-selection biases. It then estimates the indirect utility function for rural- urban migrants in China based on their migration destination choices. The baseline estimates suggest that to induce a migrant to move 10 percent further away from home, the income of this migrant has to increase by 15 percent. This elasticity varies very little with migration distance; it is slightly higher for female than male migrants; it is not affected by the migrant's age, education, or marital status. This paper explores possible explanations of these results and discuss their policy implications.

URL : http://ftp.iza.org/dp7160.pdf

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